Are you curious about the most recent football trends, matchups, and injury updates? You are in our hands. Where is the public’s money this week, you ask? You are in our hands. Do you want to know who to pick for your Eliminator pool, which teams to play, or who to roster in DFS? You’re with us there, too. Here’s all the information you need to be ready for this weekend’s football games, whether you’re betting on them or not. odds provided by ESPN BET.
NFL: Update on injuries, matchups to take advantage of, Eliminator Challenge, DFS plays, analytics edges, action report, confidence pool selections, and Pigskin Pick’em
Fantasy Football home | Sports Betting homeJordan Love’s play-action concept production: Love has completed 21 of 26 throws for 287 yards and two touchdowns on play-action concepts in his last two games, victories over the Lions and Chiefs. On Monday night against the Giants, watch for Matt LaFleur to increase the number of play-action throws (particularly on early downs), which will set up planned voids for Josh Love to increase his passing totals.
Zach Moss against the Bengals’ offensive line: Moss had 19 rushing attempts in Week 13 against the Titans, but his average per carry was only 2.7 yards. I anticipate a high volume day for Moss this Sunday because of a better matchup against a Bengals defence that allows 4.8 yards per rush, the second most in the league. Touches within the low red zone fall under this as well.
Visit Matt Bowen’s Film Room for additional breakdowns.
Mike Clay’s advise on the Eliminator Challenge
New York Jets vs. Houston Texans: We still have several excellent teams to use (Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers) with five weeks remaining, but we will have better chances to use each of them in the last month. The Texans (at the Jets) and Packers (at the Giants) are two teams that are on the rise this week, so you could really go either way on this one (both opened as 6.5-point favourites). The Texans are the favourite because of my prediction of Houston (83%) over Green Bay (74%), but choose your poison!
Check out Clay’s weekly updated Eliminator Challenge cheat sheet as well as more advice for Week 14 here.
Plays by Al Zeidenfeld for DFS
The best values on DraftKings this week, as they have been much of the season, are at running back. The prices of Zack Moss ($5,900), Joe Mixon ($6,100), and Bijan Robinson ($6,200) are excessively low, while Christian McCaffrey ($9,200) appears to be a very excellent deal at his high price point. I want to lean this week on 49ers doubles built around Brock Purdy’s ($6,500) efficiency or Bengals stacks leaning on Jake Browning ($5,200) and Ja’Marr Chase’s ($7,600) combined discount. Wrapping a double stack and bringing back players around the value running back is a great way to get contrarian for tournaments.
T.J. Edwards with +105 on 3.5 assists: You’ve found the perfect obscure prop to wager on if you’ve been seeking for one. Edwards, who is playing against the run-heavy Lions, who will probably be leading (and hence running more), has crossed this threshold in eight of his twelve games this season. With everything working in the overs’ advantage, I predict 4.5 aided tackles for the linebacker for the Chicago Bears.
Jalen Hurts above 0.5 interceptions (-120): This season, Hurts’ interception rate is marginally above normal. With 13 interceptions, the Dallas Cowboys defence ranks third in the league. The Philadelphia Eagles are 3.5-point favourites. Considering who we’re talking about, it’s unexpected, but when you add all those details together, the likelihood of a pick increases. In my concept, the pricing of
On Sunday, Kansas City -3.5 was the opening point spread for the Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs game. However, following the Chiefs’ prime-time loss to the Packers, the queue swiftly collapsed. According to Chris Fargis, senior director of trading risk at Fanatics Sportsbook, “some Bills money has pushed it to -1.5,” ESPN said. “Since the number has settled there, we have seen balanced betting on both sides.”
There will be weather-related effects on several games on Sunday. The Cleveland Browns host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, with high winds and rain in the forecast. The game’s total initially stood at40, but it soon fell after Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence hurt his ankle during Monday’s loss to the Bengals. In addition to the weather, both teams might start backup quarterbacks, so as of Thursday, the total was lowered to a consensus 30.5. The following games could see bad weather: Houston Texans vs. New York Jets. New Yorkers should expect rain and 19 mph southeast winds. As of Thursday, the consensus was 33, but earlier in the week it had been as high as 39. Los Angeles
Baltimore Ravens against. Rams. Sunday’s weather in Baltimore might be the worst of any game. There is a 94% chance of rain and 20 mph southeast winds, according to the forecast. On Thursday, the total dropped from as high as 45 to as low as 39.5.
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